Do Markets Trump Politics? Evidence from Fossil Market Reactions to the Paris Agreement and the U.S. Election

Mukanjari, Samson
Sterner, Thomas
Dept. of Economics, University of Gothenburgsv
2018-03-14T13:04:20Z
2018-03-14T13:04:20Z
2018-03
JEL: G14, Q40, Q54sv
The Paris Agreement was acclaimed as a milestone for climate negotiations. It has also been criticized – as too soft by environmentalists and too constraining by the current U.S. administration, which has decided to leave. The election of President Trump was itself widely interpreted as unexpected, good news for the fossil industry (and less good for the climate). We seek to evaluate the impact of global climate policy making by studying its effect on the stock market value of energy sector firms. In particular, we study the signing of the Paris Agreement and the latest U.S. presidential election. Using event study and impulse indicator saturation methods, we show that both events had only moderate effects.sv
53sv
1403-2465
http://hdl.handle.net/2077/55957
engsv
Working Papers in Economicssv
728sv
Climate changesv
electionsv
event studysv
impulse indicator saturationsv
Paris climate agreementsv
Trumpsv
Do Markets Trump Politics? Evidence from Fossil Market Reactions to the Paris Agreement and the U.S. Electionsv
Textsv
reportsv

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