Intravoxel incoherent motion modeling Optimization of acquisition, analysis and tumor tissue characterization Oscar Jalnefjord Department of Radiation Physics, Institute of Clinical Sciences at Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Gothenburg, Sweden, 2018 Cover illustration by Oscar Jalnefjord Intravoxel incoherent motion modeling - Optimization of acquisition, analysis and tumor tissue characterization c©2018 Oscar Jalnefjord oscar.jalnefjord@gu.se ISBN: 978-91-7833-077-5 (PRINT) ISBN: 978-91-7833-078-2 (PDF) http://hdl.handle.net/2077/56355 Printed in Gothenburg, Sweden 2018 Printed by BrandFactory All models are wrong but some are useful George E.P. Box (1979) i ii Abstract Intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) analysis provides a means to obtain informa- tion on diffusion and perfusion from a single MRI sequence. The measurements are completely noninvasive and the results have been shown to be of interest, for example, in oncological applications. Although the use of IVIM analysis has in- creased substantially the last decade, choice of acquisition parameters and analysis methods are still open questions. The aim of this thesis was to improve IVIM analysis by optimization of the image acquisition and parameter estimation methods, and to study the ability of IVIM parameters to be used for tumor tissue characterization. With standard model-fitting methods and data quality, IVIM parameter esti- mation uncertainty is typically high. However, several Bayesian approaches have been shown to improve parameter quality. In Paper I, these Bayesian approaches are compared using simulated data and data from a tumor mouse model. The results emphasize the impact of methodological choices, especially the prior distri- bution, at typical noise levels. Quick and robust IVIM examinations are important for clinical adoption, but consensus regarding methodology is lacking. To address this issue a framework for protocol optimization is presented in Paper III and a comparison of estimation methods was done in Paper II. To test the optimization framework, a protocol for liver examination was generated and tested on simulated data and data from healthy volunteers resulting in improved IVIM parameter quality. The compared estimation methods were evaluated on simulated data and data from patients with liver metastases with similar results for all methods, thereby making the compu- tationally most effective method preferable. Studies of tumors using quantitative imaging methods such as IVIM often only extract an average parameter value from the entire tumor and may thus miss important information. Paper IV explores the ability of IVIM parameters to identify tumor subregions of functionally different status using clustering methods. The obtained subregions were found to have different proliferative status as derived from histological analysis. The work presented in this thesis has resulted in improved IVIM acquisition and analysis methods. It also shows that IVIM has the potential to provide insight into tumor physiology and be used as a noninvasive imaging biomarker. Keywords: IVIM, MRI, diffusion, perfusion, cancer iii Populärvetenskaplig sammanfattning Magnetkameran (MR) spelar en mycket viktig roll inom medicinsk diagnostik med sin förmåga att avbilda mjukdelar i kroppen. Unikt med MR är också det stora antalet vävnadsegenskaper som kan avbildas. Bland annat kan man skapa MR- bilder där pixelvärdet är kopplat till omfattningen av mikroskopisk rörelse hos vattenmolekyler i en vävnad. I kroppen finns två viktiga typer av sådan rörelse: diffusion och mikrocirkulation. Diffusion är slumpmässig rörelse hos vattenmolekyler som beror på deras rörelseenergi. I vävnad hindras denna rörelse av bland annat cellmembran och andra mikroskopiska strukturer. Genom att kunna mäta storleken på diffusions- rörelsen är det därför möjligt att få information om vävnadens mikrostruktur. Exempelvis kan det ge information om celltäthet och membrangenomtränglighet. Mikrocirkulation, dvs. blodflödet genom de minsta blodkärlen (kapillärerna), är mycket viktigt för en vävnad eftersom det är genom den processen som syre och näringsämnen överlämnas till vävnaden. Eftersom syre och näringsämnen är nödvändiga för att en vävnad ska fungera kan mätning av mikrocirkulation ge information om hur en vävnad mår. Genom att ta flera MR-bilder med varierande känslighet för mikroskopisk vat- tenrörelse kan man beräkna kvantitativa mått på diffusion och mikrocirkulation i en vävnad. Denna avhandling kretsar kring mätning och analys av magnetkamerabilder känsliga för mikroskopisk vattenrörelse och hur de kan användas för karakterisering av tumörer. Målet med arbetet var att förbättra bildtagning och analys av denna typ av bilder. För en enkel variant på avbildning, mer lämpad för en klinisk situation, togs en metod fram för optimala val av nivåer på rörelsekänslighet. Olika analysmetoder jämfördes också för att se vilken som gav mest säkra och stabila mått på diffusion och mikrocirkulation. För en något mer tidskrävande variant på avbildning, mer lämpad för forsk- ningsapplikationer, jämfördes analysmetoder som använder olika antaganden och som därför kan ge mer stabila mått på diffusion och mikrocirkulation. En av de studerade analysmetoderna användes sedan ihop med en nyutvecklad metod för att identifiera delregioner i tumörer med olika vävnadsegenskaper. Avhandlingsarbetet har resulterat i förbättrad bildtagning och analys för mät- ning av mikroskopisk vattenrörelse med magnetkamera, särskilt för karakterisering av tumörer. iv List of papers This thesis is based on the following studies, referred to in the text by their Roman numerals. I. Impact of prior distributions and central tendency measures on Bayesian intravoxel incoherent motion model fitting Oscar Gustafsson*, Mikael Montelius, Göran Starck, Maria Ljungberg Magnetic Resonance in Medicine 2018;79(3):1674-1683 II. Comparison of methods for estimation of the intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) diffusion coefficient (D) and perfusion fraction (f) Oscar Jalnefjord, Mats Andersson, Mikael Montelius, Göran Starck, Anna-Karin Elf, Viktor Johanson, Johanna Svensson, Maria Ljungberg Magnetic Resonance Materials in Physics, Biology and Medicine 2018; In press III. Optimization of b-value schemes for estimation of the diffusion coefficient (D) and the perfusion fraction (f) with segmented intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) model fitting Oscar Jalnefjord, Mikael Montelius, Göran Starck, Maria Ljungberg Manuscript IV. Data-driven identification of tumor subregions using intravoxel incoherent motion Oscar Jalnefjord, Mikael Montelius, Jonathan Arvidsson, Eva Forssell-Aronsson, Göran Starck, Maria Ljungberg Manuscript Paper I is reprinted with permission of John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Paper II is Open Access and available under the CC BY license *Gustafsson was the name of the author until June 2017 v Related presentations Improved IVIM model fitting with non-rigid motion correction Oscar Gustafsson, Mikael Montelius, Maria Ljungberg Annual Meeting ISMRM 2015 Toronto, Canada IVIM reveals higher blood perfusion of liver metastases after oral intake of salovum Mikael Montelius,Oscar Gustafsson, Mats Andersson, Eva Forssell-Aronsson, Ragnar Hultborn, Susanne Ottosson, Göran Carlsson, Stefan Lange, Maria Ljungberg Annual Meeting ESMRMB 2015 Edinburgh, UK An assessment of Bayesian IVIM model fitting Oscar Gustafsson, Mikael Montelius, Göran Starck, Maria Ljungberg Annual Meeting ISMRM 2016 Singapore Can Cramer-Rao Lower Bound be used to find optimal b-values for IVIM? Oscar Gustafsson, Maria Ljungberg, Göran Starck Annual Meeting ISMRM 2016 Singapore Impact of prior distribution and central tendency measure on Bayesian IVIM model fitting Oscar Gustafsson, Mikael Montelius, Göran Starck, Maria Ljungberg Annual Meeting ISMRM 2017 Honolulu, USA IVIM D and f - Optimal estimation technique and their potential for tissue differentiation Oscar Jalnefjord, Mats Andersson, Mikael Montelius, Göran Starck, Anna- Karin Elf, Viktor Johanson, Johanna Svensson, Maria Ljungberg Joint Annual Meeting ISMRM-ESMRMB 2018 Paris, France vi Abbreviations ADC Apparent Diffusion Coefficient ASL Arterial Spin Labeling CRLB Cramer-Rao Lower Bound D Diffusion coefficient D∗ pseudo-Diffusion coefficient DCE Dynamic Contrast Enhanced DSC Dynamic Susceptibility Contrast DWI Diffusion Weighted Image/Imaging f perfusion fraction GMM Gaussian Mixture Model/Modeling IVIM IntraVoxel Incoherent Motion MRI Magnetic Resonance Imaging NLLS NonLinear Least Squares S0 Signal without diffusion weighting sIVIM simplified IVIM SNR Signal-to-Noise Ratio vii viii Contents Introduction 1 Aims 5 Intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) 7 The IVIM concept . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 The IVIM model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Relation to other MR perfusion techniques . . . . . . . . . . 11 The use of IVIM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 IVIM parameter estimation 15 Maximum likelihood . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Least squares . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Segmented fitting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Bayesian parameter estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Prior distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Measures of central tendency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Optimization of b-value schemes for IVIM 25 Objective function . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Expression-based approaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Error propagation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Cramer-Rao lower bound . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Experiment-like approaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Analysis of IVIM tumor parameter maps 33 Methods for intratumor parameter analysis . . . . . . . . . 33 Histogram and texture analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Region-based analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Cluster-based methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 ix Validation of clustering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Conclusions 41 Future aspects 43 Acknowledgements 45 References 56 x Introduction Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can be made sensitive to motion through the use of magnetic field gradients. If the motion of spins is coherent on the voxel level, it will introduce a phase offset rela- tive to stationary tissue. On the other hand, if the motion of spins is incoherent within a voxel, i.e. if the motion of spins varies within the voxel, a phase dispersion is introduced that attenuates the sig- nal in varying degree depending on the motion and how the motion encoding was performed. One well known incoherent motion is the self-diffusion of water molecules. The effect of diffusion on the MR signal was early recognized [1] and was followed by development of a method to measure it [2]. Later, diffusion sensitizing gradients were combined with an imaging readout, which made it possible to produce images that quantified the tissue water diffusion in vivo [3]. However, in the same paper it was noted that a diffusion weighted image (DWI) is not only sensitive to diffusion, but also to all other motions that are incoherent on the voxel scale, especially blood microcirculation or perfusion. The technique was therefore called intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) imaging. Shortly after the measurement technique was presented, a way of separately quantifying the diffusion and perfusion was presented [4]. This quantification approach has later become syn- onymous to IVIM, while DWI has become the standard name for the imaging technique. The main assumption in quantitative IVIM analysis is that the MR signal originates from two compartments, the intravascular space and the extravascular space, respectively. The IVIM model that is most often used includes one parameter for describing the tissue wa- ter diffusion (D), one for describing the motion of water molecules in the blood (D∗) and one for the amount of blood in the voxel (f) [4]. The values of these parameters can be estimated by acquiring images with at least four different diffusion weightings (b-values) followed by 1 fitting the model to the acquired data. The diffusion coefficient D is of interest since it is affected by e.g. cellularity and membrane permeabil- ity and therefore provides a means to probe tissue microstructure [5]. The perfusion-related parameters (f and D∗) are not as well-studied, but perfusion MRI in general and dynamic contrast enhanced (DCE) MRI in particular is an important diagnostic tool with its sensitivity to blood supply [6]. If IVIM based perfusion MRI can be used in at least a subset of all perfusion examinations it would be beneficial since it is completely noninvasive unlike DCE MRI that requires an intravenous injection of a contrast agent. While appearing conceptually simple, IVIM has been shown to be nontrivial to implement in practice. The estimation of the IVIM pa- rameters has been found to be problematic, especially for D∗, due to susceptibility to noise [7]. To improve the quality of parameter esti- mates, a large number of estimation approaches have been proposed, including some where only D and f are estimated [8, 9]. Improved robustness has been achieved through the use of specialized or ad- vanced estimation approaches, but there is still little or no consensus and estimation approaches varies between studies, which reduces the comparability between studies. In addition to using a specifically designed estimation approach, choosing optimal b-values has a potential to reduce the uncertainty of parameter estimates substantially. Methods for experiment design have been applied successfully to several aspects of diffusion-weighted imaging including IVIM [10–13]. However, the optimal choice of b- values may dependent on the estimation approach. Most work on b-value optimization for IVIM has been focused on a generic simul- taneous estimation of all model parameters, while optimization of b- values for other more specialized estimation approaches is mainly un- explored. For example, estimation limited to D and f is attractive in a clinical setting due to its short acquisition and processing time, and robustness, but optimization of b-values for this approach has only been studied for a special case [14, 15]. With its ability to quantitatively map both diffusion and perfusion, IVIM has been proposed as an interesting diagnostic tool in several oncological applications [16]. Tumor tissue characterization based on quantitative imaging, such as IVIM, has a great potential to, for ex- ample, improve the understanding of tumor development by repeated imaging either during growth or after therapy. However, even though it is well known that tumors can be highly heterogeneous and that 2 quantitative imaging can provide potentially important spatial infor- mation, parameter values are often averaged across the entire tumor [17]. To obtain more information, it has been proposed to do sepa- rate analyses in smaller subregions of the tumor. By doing so, spatial information is provided in a way that is relatively easy to interpret. Such subregions can be defined, for example, based on geometrical properties like distance from the center or based on functional char- acteristics derived from the parameter maps. With both diffusion and perfusion parameter maps, IVIM is an interesting candidate for such a functional definition of tumor subregions. 3 4 Aims The overall aim of this thesis was to improve intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) analysis, especially for tumor tissue characterization. The specific aims of the papers included in the thesis were: • to evaluate the impact of estimation approach both for the full IVIM model (Paper I) and for the analysis restricted to the pa- rameters D and f (Paper II) • to develop and evaluate a framework for optimization of b-value schemes for DWI data used to estimate the parameters D and f (Paper III) • to investigate if clustering based on IVIM parameter maps can be used for identification of tumor subregions with biological relevance (Paper IV) 5 6 Intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) The IVIM concept The principle for diffusion weighted imaging is that nonstationary spins gain a phase offset relative to stationary spins due to the dif- fusion encoding. The obtained phase depends on the trajectory tra- versed by the spin during the diffusion encoding and may therefore differ between spins within a voxel. For an incoherent motion, i.e. if all spins do not move in a single straight line with the same speed, the result is a phase dispersion and therefore a reduced amplitude of the signal. The incoherence can be due to motion in different directions by different spins (spatial incoherence), motion in different directions by the same spin (temporal incoherence) or a combination of both [4, 18]. The resulting signal attenuation of the diffusion weighted signal depends on the characteristics of the incoherent motion as well as the technique used for diffusion encoding. To emphasize that it is motions that are incoherent on the voxel level, these kinds of motion are called intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM). For in vivo MR imaging there are two major types of IVIM’s that affect the diffusion weighted signal. These are tissue water diffusion and blood microcirculation. Diffusion is a random motion that is driven by the kinetic energy of the particles, in this case water molecules. During a typical encoding time of tens of milliseconds a water molecule collides and changes directions on the order of 1010 times [19]. The motion of the molecules can therefore be seen as a random walk with multiple steps taken during the diffusion encoding, with different trajectories for different water molecules (left illustration in Figure 1). In tissue, the diffusion 7 can be hindered or restricted by structures such as cell membranes and organelles, which reduces the distance covered by the water molecules. The reduced magnitude of the diffusion can therefore be used to probe tissue microstructure through diffusion weighted MRI. Microcirculation is the flow of blood in the capillaries, also referred to as perfusion in this thesis. While the motion of water molecules due to blood flow is not necessarily an incoherent motion, it is reasonable to assume that the capillaries contained in a typical voxel (side 2-3 mm) are not perfectly aligned but rather arranged in many directions (right illustration in Figure 1). The variable orientation of capillaries is a source of spatial incoherence, which makes the microcirculation an IVIM. Depending on the capillary architecture, blood velocity and duration of the diffusion encoding, microcirculation can also give rise to temporal incoherence [4]. In such case, microcirculation has an equivalent effect on the MR signal as diffusion and has therefore been called pseudo-diffusion. Assuming temporal incoherence simplifies the signal modeling (see below) and is therefore used in most studies, but it is still unclear in what measurement situations that the assumption holds. The assumption has, for example, been shown to be violated in the brain [18] and the liver [20]. However, the commonly used model usually fits well to data and the major implication that this violation on the assumption has is therefore to make the interpretation of some, but not all, model parameters less straight forward. One can, for ex- ample, end up with parameter estimates that are highly dependent on the choice of b-values [18]. Nevertheless, if appropriate measurement methods and analysis are used, the effect of blood microcirculation on the diffusion weighted signal enables extraction of perfusion informa- tion from DWI regardless of capillary architecture [4]. The IVIM model The overall assumption for IVIM analysis is that the MR signal orig- inates from two compartments: the intravascular space and the ex- travascular space, which have individual response to diffusion encoding [4]. The two compartment are also referred to as the perfusion com- partment and the diffusion compartment, respectively, in this thesis based on the most influential IVIM in the particular compartment. To separate the effects of diffusion and perfusion on the diffusion weighted MR signal a model can be formulated as follows: 8 Diffusion Microcirculation Figure 1: Illustration of the two major sources of intravoxel incoherent mo- tion in living tissue: water diffusion and microcirculation 0 200 400 600 800 0 0.5 1 b-value [s/mm2] S ig n a l [a .u .] Extravascular Intravascular Total Figure 2: An example IVIM signal vs. b-value curve. The curves show the signal from each compartment and their sum, which is what is measurable. Data was generated using Equation 3 with parameter values: S0 = 1, D = 1 µm2/ms, D∗ = 10 µm2/ms, f = 0.2 9 Sb = S0 ((1− f)FD + fFP ) (1) where Sb is the signal at b-value b, S0 is the signal without diffusion weighting, f is the signal fraction originating from the intravascular space (referred to as perfusion fraction), and FD and FP are functions that describe how the signal is attenuated by the diffusion weighting in the extravascular and intravascular spaces respectively. In most cases, the signal decay due to diffusion weighting is stronger in the perfusion compartment. This results in a signal vs. b curve where the initial slope is dominated by perfusion effects, and the latter parts by diffusion effects (Fig. 2). For weak to intermediate magnitudes of the diffusion weighting (b- values less than approximately 1000 s/mm2), the signal attenuation in the extravascular space is well approximated by a monoexponential function [19]. Equation 1 can therefore be written as: Sb = S0 ( (1− f) e−bD + fFP ) (2) where D is the diffusion coefficient in the extravascular space. This is the form that was originally proposed by le Bihan et al. [4]. More re- cent work has extended that model to include the effects of diffusional variance by the use of e.g. the kurtosis model [16]. However, studies of such extensions are beyond the scope of this thesis. Remaining to be determined in Equation 2 is the effect of diffusion weighting on the intravascular space (FP ). However, since temporal incoherence is not necessarily a valid assumption it can be a non-trivial task to describe FP . The two special cases of no temporal incoherence and full temporal incoherence was described by le Bihan in the original paper. The intermediate case is yet an open topic for research where some attempts have been made that warrants further research [20, 21]. In the case of full temporal incoherence, it is assumed that the cap- illary architecture and the blood flow is such that the water molecules in the blood changes direction a sufficient number of times during the diffusion encoding [4]. The motion of water molecules can then be approximated by a random walk similar to the case of diffusion and FP can be described by a monoexponential function. This results in the following IVIM model: Sb = S0 ( (1− f) e−bD + fe−bD ∗ ) (3) 10 where D∗ describes the motion of the blood water. Due to the pseudo- diffusion like motion of microcirculation under these circumstances, D∗ is referred to as the pseudo-diffusion coefficient. Even though the assumption of temporal incoherence cannot be said to hold in general, and has been proved invalid in some studies [18, 20], the biexponential model is currently the by far mostly used IVIM model. An alternative approach is to avoid the b-value range where FP is not well known. Specifically, one can exploit the stronger signal attenuation in the perfusion compartment and choose to use b-values where FP is either 1 (b = 0) or of negligible size (b > bthr, where bthr is some threshold b-value). This gives the simplified IVIM (sIVIM) model: Sb = S0 ( (1− f) e−bD + fδ(b) ) (4) where δ(x) is the discrete delta function, i.e. δ(x = 0) = 1 and δ(x 6= 0) = 0 [22–24]. Since the low b-values > 0 are avoided, no information can be obtain regarding the blood flow by e.g. D∗, but f is still possible to estimate if S(0) is measured. Note that this simplified IVIM model does not attempt to describe the signal attenuation in the full range of b-values, but rather to provide a simple model that can be used for estimation of at least a subset of the IVIM parameters. Relation to other MR perfusion techniques IVIM is just one of several techniques that can be used to measure per- fusion with MRI. The more commonly used techniques are dynamic contrast enhancement (DCE), dynamic susceptibility contrast (DSC) and arterial spin labeling (ASL). The techniques have different ben- efits, but a major advantage for IVIM and ASL is that they do not depend on an injection of a contrast agent. This is especially beneficial for patients with renal dysfunction and for small children [16]. Since diffusion weighting sensitizes the MR images to motion, the perfusion information attainable via IVIM analysis is related to the blood that is flowing [25]. This means that IVIM in principle can be used to quantify blood flow and volume of flowing blood. In fact, under some very specific conditions, it is possible to translate the IVIM perfusion parameters f and the product f×D∗ into measures of blood volume and blood flow, respectively [25]. 11 Several studies have been conducted with the aim to study the re- lationship between IVIM derived measures of blood volume and blood flow, and corresponding measures obtained from the other MR perfu- sion techniques, but the results are inconclusive [26]. Multiple studies have found correlations between f and blood volume derived from DSC and DCE [27–30], but contradicting results exist as well [30–32]. Some studies have compared f ×D∗ with measures of blood flow from DSC [27] and ASL [30, 33], but the data available is scarse and mainly contradicting. The relationship between IVIM perfusion parameters and measures of blood volume and blood flow from other MR perfusion techniques is thus still an open field of research [26]. There are several possible explanations for the currently poor agree- ment between perfusion parameters derived from IVIM and other MR techniques. On the IVIM side, there are difficulties associated with both f and D∗. f is a signal fraction, so to get something similar to a blood volume, one needs to compensate for relaxation (T1 and T2) and possibly also other factors such as contamination by cerebrospinal fluid [34, 35]. D∗ on the other hand is given in absolute units, but is often strongly affected by noise [7] and is only easily interpreted under certain conditions (temporal incoherence) [18]. Different MR perfusion techniques can also be sensitive to different kinds of blood flow which complicates the comparison further [26]. Future studies on this topic should try to compensate for these confounding factors in order to facilitate more direct comparisons. The use of IVIM After some initial interest [36], perfusion evaluation by IVIM analysis did not gain much attention until the start of the current decade (Fig. 3). After Luciani et al. showed that IVIM analysis could be used for diagnostic purposes of liver cirrhosis [37], the IVIM field gained renewed attention [38] and the number of publications has since in- creased exponentially (Fig. 3). During this decade, IVIM analysis has been applied successfully in various organs, often with oncological applications [16, 26]. It has, for example, been shown that f can be helpful in grading gliomas [29] and that both D and f provide important information for stroke as- sessment [39, 40]. In addition to applications related to liver cirrhosis [31, 37], IVIM has also been used in the liver for, e.g., grading of hep- atocellular carcinomas [41]. IVIM parameters have also been used for 12 19 90 19 95 20 00 20 05 20 10 20 15 0 50 100 150 * # P u b li sh e d p a p e rs Figure 3: Number of IVIM papers published each year since the first in 1986. The data was obtained from a PubMed search with search string: "intravoxel incoherent motion" OR "IVIM". *Note that the number of published papers in 2018 is only until July 16. An extrapolated number for 2018 is 220 differentiation of common malignant pancreas tumors with promising results [42]. Another promising application of IVIM is breast cancer, where a difference in both D and f between benign and malignant tumors has been shown [43]. 13 14 IVIM parameter estimation This chapter is mainly related to Papers I and II. In Paper I, the impact of methodological choices related to Bayesian es- timation of IVIM parameters based on the biexponential model were studied. Estimation with different prior distributions and central tendency measures used in previous studies were compared. In Paper II, methods for estimation of D and f were compared. Seg- mented model fitting was evaluated among with fitting of the sIVIM model based on either least squares or Bayesian methods with different central ten- dency measures. Estimation of model parameters is typically done by fitting the specific model to a set of data. Therefore, parameter estimation and model fit- ting have equivalent meaning and will be used interchangeably in this text. Parameter estimation is often based on the maximum-likelihood method and in particular using the least-squares criterion, although other methods such as Bayesian estimation can be useful in some ap- plications. Maximum likelihood Parameter estimates based on the maximum-likelihood method are obtained by finding the parameter values that maximizes the likeli- hood function, where the likelihood function describes the probability of the data given the set of model parameters. To formulate the likeli- hood function, one needs to choose a signal model and a noise model. For the work presented in this thesis, the signal model is one of the versions of the IVIM model (Eq. 3 or 4). Since magnitude images are used in general for DWI, the noise distribution is often assumed to be Rician [44]. To simplify model fitting, the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) 15 is typically assumed to be high enough such that the Rician distribu- tion can be approximated by a Gaussian one. For a single data point, this gives: P (S(b)|θ, σ) = 1 √ 2piσ2 exp [ − (S(b)− Sb (θ)) 2 2σ2 ] (5) where P (S(b)|θ, σ) is the probability density function describing how the measured value S(b) varies around the predicted value Sb given the signal model parameters θ = [S0, D, f,D∗] and the noise variance σ2 [45]. Furthermore, if data points in a measurement series are also (conditionally) independent, the likelihood function is given by: L(θ) = P (S|θ, σ) = N∏ i=1 P (S(bi)|θ, σ) = = ( 2piσ2 )−N/2 exp [ − ∑N i=1 (S(bi)− Sbi (θ)) 2 2σ2 ] (6) where N is the number of measurements [45]. It is clear that max- imization of the likelihood function with respect to the signal model parameters is achieved by minimizing the sum in the exponent. The maximum-likelihood estimate, given these specific noise assumptions, is therefore given by the so-called least-squares estimate. Least squares Parameter estimation based on least-squares fitting is by far the most commonly used. For linear models, closed-form solutions exist and the method is therefore very robust for such models. On the other hand, for nonlinear models, such as the IVIM model, closed-form so- lutions do not exist and iterative optimization methods have to be used. This leads to increased numerical complexity and decreased robustness since multiple local maxima may exist in the likelihood function. Nonlinear least squares (NLLS) fitting of the biexponential IVIM model (Eq. 3) is very commonly used and may appear attractive since few explicit assumptions are made and it is easy to perform with routines available in most software packages. However, it was early shown to be susceptible to noise [46], a result that has been confirmed 16 several times since then [7–9]. The possibly most important reason for the noise sensitivity of the biexponential model is its flexibility. An over-ability to fit well to data becomes problematic if the measured signal at some key b-value is strongly influenced by noise or some artefact. Furthermore, if the perfusion fraction is small and the noise level is high, data may be very well described by a monoexponential model. Unless D and D∗ are constrained to not overlap, D∗ may take the role of D while f takes extremely high values or D∗ and D take similar values while f can take any value in the allowed range. Given its limited robustness, NLLS for fitting of the biexponential IVIM model should therefore be avoided unless the data is of very high quality, especially for tissues with a low perfusion fraction. The simplified IVIM model (Eq. 4) can also be fit using NLLS [22]. The model is less flexible than the biexponential model and is therefore less susceptible to noise as shown in Paper II and previously by others [9]. Nevertheless, it is a nonlinear model with multiple parameters and therefore requires iterative estimation methods, which may be computationally expensive compared with other methods. Segmented fitting To increase the robustness of the IVIM parameter estimates, a step- wise procedure was proposed that is often referred to as segmented or asymptotic model fitting [46]. The rationale behind the method is that one can typically assume that the diffusion weighting attenuates the signal from the perfusion compartment more strongly than that from the diffusion compartment. The result is that the term FP in Equation 2 can be assumed to be of negligible size at a sufficiently high b-value, equivalent to the argument used to formulate the sIVIM model (Eq. 4). If the biexponential IVIM model is used, this assumption is often expressed as D  D∗. If the assumption holds (FP ≈ 0) and only b- values above the chosen threshold are used, the signal model simplifies to: Sb = S0 (1− f) e −bD = Ae−bD (7) This monoexponential model is fitted to get an estimate of D. The estimate of D can then be fixed in a NLLS fit where all b-values are used and the remaining IVIM parameters are estimated. Alternatively, if images with the b-value b = 0 have been acquired, they may be used together with the extrapolated y-axis intercept A to get an estimate 17 of f as: f = 1−A/S0 (8) where S0 has been set to the measured value S(0). Both D and f can then be fixed in the NLLS fit where D∗ is estimated. If f is estimated through the extrapolation step, the last step with estimation of D∗ might be skipped while information on both diffusion and perfusion is still obtained. This reduces scan time since fewer b-values are needed as well as computational time since the NLLS step for D∗ is avoided. In fact, a special case of the segment fitting approach with only three b-values was the one proposed for estimation of D and f in the orig- inal IVIM paper [4]. When only three b-values are used, closed form solutions exist for both D and f as shown in Paper III. The segmented fitting has been compared with the simultaneous least-squares estimation of all IVIM parameters from the biexponential IVIM model in several studies [9, 47–50]. It is clear from these results that the segmented approach is preferable, with the caveat that a proper threshold b-value must be chosen. In Paper II, segmented fitting for estimation of D and f was com- pared with fitting the sIVIM model (Eq. 4) using either least squares or Bayesian methods. The estimation approaches were compared re- garding estimation variability and bias as well as ability to differentiate between tumor and healthy liver. Apart from some minor differences, it was found that all approaches produced very similar results (see example in Figure 4). The major difference between the approaches is instead that the segmented fitting is associated with a substantially lower computational cost and is easier to implement due to the simple stepwise procedure. In fact, segmented fitting could easily be fit into a clinical workflow where parameter maps are generated directly as an extension to the reconstruction. The conclusion from Paper II is there- fore that the segmented fitting approach is preferable for estimation of D and f only. Bayesian parameter estimation A more general way to incorporate prior knowledge into the model fitting procedure is to take a Bayesian perspective. Instead of simply finding the parameter values that maximizes the likelihood function, the posterior parameter distribution is derived through Bayes’ rule and used to obtain the parameter estimates. According to Bayes’ rule, the 18 Figure 4: b = 0 image and IVIM parameter maps of a patient with a liver metastasis. The parameter maps are based on all estimation approaches studied in Paper II. The manual delineation of the tumor is shown as a dashed line (red in b = 0 image and black in parameter maps). Note that the parameter maps based on different estimation approaches are almost indistinguishable. Subtle differences can be seen, for example, in the upper left region of the D maps. Adapted from Paper II, Figure 3 with data from another patient 19 posterior distribution is given by: P (θ|S) ∝ P (S|θ)P (θ) (9) where P (θ|S) is the posterior distribution and P (θ) is the prior dis- tribution [45]. Bayesian model fitting was early proposed as a robust alterative to NLLS for IVIM parameter estimation [51]. However, the compu- tational cost associated with Bayesian methods and perhaps also the lower familiarity with such methods have resulted in limited use. Due to the continued development of computer hardware, the computa- tional cost is currently less of a problem, but the lack of availability of simple Bayesian methods in standard software packages still limits the use1. One reason for the high computational cost is that analytical forms of the posterior distribution only exist for a few specific com- binations of likelihood function and prior distribution, but in these cases the Bayesian estimation problem is essentially equivalent to a maximum likelihood estimation [52]. However, use of these specific prior distributions is not necessarily the most preferable. Prior distribution The prior distribution is used to describe what can be known about the model parameters without seeing the data of the specific exper- iment. Such information is, for example, that some parameters are nonnegative or even constrained to a closed interval, such as f that is defined to be in the range 0 – 1. However, one may also include less well defined information such as a belief that D is typically around 1 µm2/ms. By doing so, the parameter estimates may become less sus- ceptible to noise, but they may on the other hand also become biased. Choice of prior distribution for Bayesian IVIM parameter estimation has varied between studies [8, 51, 53–57]. The impact of this choice has recently been studied both for prior distributions that act on each voxel independently (Paper I) as well as for prior distributions that take into account information from other voxels [57]. The results in both studies have shown substantial effects on parameter estimates due to the choice of prior distribution and also emphasize the need to challenge proposed methods by testing them in new situations. 1To partially remedy this issue and enable the use of Bayesian methods to a larger group, the MATLAB code used for Bayesian IVIM model fitting in Paper I has been published online: www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/65579-ivim-model-fitting 20 In Paper I, three prior distributions previously used for Bayesian IVIM model fitting of the biexponential IVIM model were compared. The three prior distributions were all uniform for f and S0, but either uniform [8, 56], reciprocal [51] or lognormal [53] for D and D∗. The uniform distribution implies that any given interval of parameter val- ues is equally likely on a linear scale. For example, a uniform prior gives equal probability for values in the range 1 - 2 as for values in the range 2 - 3. The reciprocal distribution has the equivalent mean- ing on a log-scale. This means that the reciprocal prior, for example, gives equal probability for values in the range 1 - 10 as for values in the range 10 - 100. The lognormal priors used in Paper I were nor- mal distributions on the log-scale with relatively high variance. All investigated priors can therefore be described as non-informative or weakly informative since no or only very little information is provided by the priors. This is in contrast to, for example, a lognormal prior with low variance implying a strong belief for a specific narrow range of parameter values. The comparison in Paper I showed that the re- ciprocal prior tended to dominate the posterior distribution at SNR levels below 40 (Fig. 5). At SNR levels around 20, which are typical levels for IVIM, at least in applications outside the brain, the param- eter estimates were therefore strongly biased (Fig. 6). Worth noting is that the first study on Bayesian IVIM model fitting used the recip- rocal priors [51], but only tested for SNR levels of 40 or higher where such a prior is less dominant and this negative effect was therefore not observable. The other two prior distributions, i.e. uniform and lognormal, produced more similar results except for estimates of D∗, where the spuriously high values that are typically produced by noise corruption were strongly suppressed by the use of lognormal priors. The resulting D∗ parameter maps were of subjectively high quality al- though it should be noted that it is unclear what the magnitude of the bias on the obtained parameters was (Fig. 6). The conclusion from Paper I was that the reciprocal prior needs unrealistically high SNR to be useful, while the other two compared priors have comparable performance. The lognormal prior necessitates choice of distribution parameters (mean and variance) and is therefore somewhat more sub- jective, but appears to have slightly lower demands on noise level for estimation of D∗. The uniform prior on the other hand, has no distri- bution parameters and may therefore be regarded as more objective, but appears to be somewhat more susceptible to noise which is demon- strated especially for D∗. The specific choice of prior distribution for 21 Figure 5: Posterior distribution for D based on simulated data with SNR = 20 for different prior distributions (uniform, reciprocal or lognormal). The posterior distribution is strongly dominated by the reciprocal prior, but mainly unaffected by the other priors. The data was scaled to improve visibility. Adapted from Paper I, Figure 2 with permission from John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Bayesian IVIM model fitting should be made with these aspects in mind and the optimal choice typically depends on the specific con- text. Only the uniform prior was used in Paper II. Due to the reduced flexibility of the sIVIM model compared with the biexponential IVIM model, it was believed that the choice of prior distribution would be less important. Measures of central tendency To arrive in a parameter estimate, the posterior distribution must be summarized by some central tendency measure. A simple approach is to find the parameter values that maximize the joint posterior dis- tribution similar to maximum likelihood estimation [52]. However, for Bayesian IVIM parameter estimation it has been more common to find the marginal posterior distributions, i.e. P (D|S), P (f |S) and P (D∗|S). From these marginal posterior distributions, parameter es- timates have been obtained by calculation of the mean [53, 55] or the mode, i.e. the parameter value where the marginal posterior distribu- tion has its maximum [8, 51]. In Papers I and II parameter estimates based on the mean or the mode were compared for the biexponential IVIM model (Eq. 3) and the sIVIM model (Eq. 4), respectively. The results showed that the choice of central tendency measure has an impact on the resulting pa- rameter estimates, but that it is of limited magnitude (Figs. 4 and 6). The most prominent differences could be seen when the true parame- 22 Figure 6: IVIM parameter maps (color) of a neuroendocrine tumor of the GOT1 tumor model [58] overlaid on the b = 0 image (grayscale). The param- eter maps were obtained with different combinations of prior distributions (uniform, reciprocal or lognormal on D and D∗, and uniform on f and S0) and central tendency measures (mean or mode). The reciprocal prior distri- bution produced parameter maps that were strongly affected by the prior. Adapted from Paper I, Figure 3 with permission from John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ter value was close to a parameter boundary such as for small values of f . In those cases, the posterior distribution is often strongly skewed which gives a noticeable difference between the mean and the mode, and the typical result is a positive bias of parameter estimates based on the mean. In Paper I it was also shown that for the biexponential IVIM model, the choice of central tendency measure is not as critical as the choice of prior distribution, but still may impact the results in some specific cases, e.g. estimation of D∗ with a uniform or lognormal prior (Fig. 6). 23 24 Optimization of b-value schemes for IVIM This chapter is mainly related to Paper III. In Paper III, a framework for optimization of b-value schemes was pre- sented and evaluated. The framework was used to create a b-value scheme for examination of healthy liver, which was compared with linearly distributed b-values. A key aspect of an IVIM experiment is the choice of b-values. The optimal choice depends of factors such as specific model, expected parameter values, noise level and purpose of analysis. A commonly used strategy is to define an objective measure to describe how good a b-value scheme is and then maximize this measure by finding the optimal b-values. The definition should take into account all aspects that are considered important and combine them into a single figure of merit. The way that the goodness of a b-value scheme is summarized into a single number is typically referred to as the objective function. Objective function The objective functions used for experiment design, such as choice of b-value, are typically based on some measure of estimation variability for the parameters of interest. Note that in such case, the objec- tive function should be minimized rather than maximized in order to obtain a b-value scheme that minimizes the estimation variability. A simple objective function for analysis of the biexponential IVIM model 25 could be: O = ∑ p∈{D,f,D∗} cpσp (10) where σp is the estimation variability of the parameter p and cp is a scaling constant used to set the σp’s on the same scale. A common choice is to set cp = 1/p, which turns Equation 10 into a sum of coefficients of variation if the σp’s are standard deviations, but the cp’s can in principle be set to any values of choice. Although S0 is a parameter of the IVIM model it is usually not included in the sum in an objective function like this since it is typically not of interest. The exact type of estimation variability and how to combine them when multiple model parameters are of interest such as in the case of IVIM, is a subjective choice. In Paper III and some other studies on optimization of b-value schemes for IVIM [12, 50, 59], a sum of coefficients of variation (as in Eq. 10) was used, but other choices are reasonable as well. Some examples, used for experiment design in diffusion MRI, are weighted sums of estimation variance [11] and median absolute percentage deviation [14]. As discussed in Paper III, no measure can be considered generally superior, but the choice will have an impact on the obtained b-value scheme. It is therefore important to consider the strengths and weaknesses of the potential measures when designing the objective function and make a choice that fit well to the particular application of interest. Most often it is not enough to provide knowledge about the model and typical model parameter values to the objective function, but re- strictions on the experiment parameter, i.e. the b-values, and indirect effects related to them may also be needed. An important example of such restrictions for IVIM is that b-values are nonnegative, and for the sIVIM model it is also necessary to have both b = 0 and at least two different b-values in a higher interval above the threshold. One may also take into account the increased echo time, and thereby reduced SNR, for higher b-values that is caused by limited gradient perfor- mance as done in Paper III and previously by others [11, 13]. With simplified models, some intervals of b-values may be poorly described by the model. Examples are low b-values for the sIVIM model and high b-values for all models with only a monoexponential term for the diffusion compartment. Such unfavorable b-values should be avoided in order not to introduce a potential estimation bias. Furthermore, if there are any additional assumptions for the model to be valid, it is important to design the optimization such that these assumptions are 26 not violated. It is, for example, often assumed that the SNR is suffi- cient for a Gaussian noise approximation, which is not necessarily true at high b-values. To take all this into account, one can perform a con- strained optimization or add penalty terms to the objective function such that b-value schemes that violate some assumption or restric- tion are associated with a large penalty. Typically a combination of both is used, i.e. constrained optimization of an objective function with penalty terms. The exact implementation depends on what is considered most suitable for the particular optimization. To evaluate the objective function it is necessary to be able to cal- culate all of its components. There exist two general ways of obtaining these values; either by expressions derived from theory, which are fast and relatively simple to calculate, or by experiment-like approaches such as simulations, which are slower, but more closely related to the actual measurement procedure. Expression-based approaches Expression-based approaches typically use some theory to derive an expression of the estimation variance based on the model, experiment design and noise properties. For diffusion MRI, the most commonly used approaches are error propagation and Cramer-Rao lower bound [10–13, 59–63]. Error propagation If closed form solutions exist for all model parameters of interest, it is possible to use error propagation to find the variance of parameter estimates. For independent measurements, the error propagation is given by: σ2θj = N∑ i=1 σ2i ( ∂θj ∂Sbi )2 (11) where σ2θj is the estimation variance of parameter θj and σ 2 i is the variance of the noise of the ith measurement [45]. Error propagation has, for example, been used to find optimal b- values for estimation of the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) based on the monoexponential diffusion model [10, 61]. In Paper III, it is shown that error propagation can be used to obtain optimal b-values 27 for estimation of D and f based on segmented model fitting and a protocol containing three unique b-values. Cramer-Rao lower bound When the number of measurements is higher than the number of pa- rameters in the model, parameter estimation is typically done by least squares. In this case, the standard method for error propagation pre- sented above cannot be used. Instead a similar method called Cramer- Rao lower bound (CRLB) can be used. The CRLB’s are theoretical lower bounds of the parameter estimation variances. Minimizing these bounds has the potential to result in lower estimation variability. The CRLB’s are given by the diagonal elements of the inverse Fisher matrix as: σ2θj ≥ (F ) −1 jj (12) where the elements of the Fisher matrix are given by [45]: Fjk = −E [ ∂2 ∂θj∂θk logL (θ) ] (13) If the likelihood function L(θ) is based on a Gaussian noise model (Eq. 6), the expression simplifies to the following [11]: Fjk = 1 σ2 N∑ i=1 ∂Sbi(θ) ∂θj ∂Sbi(θ) ∂θk (14) CRLB based methods have been used for optimization of acquisi- tion parameters for several applications of diffusion MRI, e.g., kurtosis imaging [64], filter exchange imaging [13] and biexponential IVIM [12, 50, 59]. In Paper III, a CRLB-based method was used to find optimal b- value schemes for estimation ofD and f based on segmented model fit- ting, without the limitation of only three unique b-values. Specifically, a b-value scheme designed for imaging of the liver was optimized. Al- though additional b-values were allowed, the optimized b-value scheme contained no more than three unique b-values. These three b-values were instead repeated if more acquisitions were allowed. The optimal ratio of repetitions was found to be approximately 1:2:2 for a scheme containing b-values 0, 200 and 800 s/mm2. This should be contrasted to the ratio 1:3 that is considered optimal for the monoexponential diffusion model and b-values 0 and 1000 s/mm2 [10], and the ratio 28 1:2:2:1 for the biexponential IVIM model (Eq. 3) and b-values 0, 15, 100 and 1000 s/mm2 [65]. Optimal signal averaging is thus highly dependent on the model that is used. When compared with linearly distributed b-values, simulations in Paper III showed that the estimation variability could be reduced by about 20 % by the use of an optimized b-value scheme. These results were confirmed in vivo using data from healthy volunteers (see example in Figure 7). A critical issue when D and f are to be estimated is to find the threshold b-value where the signal contribution from the perfusion compartment can be considered negligible. Notably, the results in Paper III showed that the decrease in estimation variability could be seen regardless of if the threshold was chosen properly or not. The observation in Paper III that the optimized b-value scheme contained only three unique b-values is in line with what has been reported previously by others [12, 59, 63], i.e. that optimization based on CRLB tends to produce b-value sets where the number of unique b- values equals the number of parameters included in the model. If three b-values were considered sufficient for the estimation of D and f based on segmented model fitting, closed form expressions exist for both parameters, and it would thus be possible to use optimization methods based on error propagation. The result would be simpler expressions for estimation variability, which can be interpreted more easily, and less complicated optimization since the number of free parameters is reduced. Experiment-like approaches The major drawback of expression-based approaches for experiment optimization is that some aspects can be hard to incorporate into a closed form expression. A more straight-forward approach is to com- pare direct measures of the quality of results from measurements done with different experiment design. However, if these experiments would include actual MR scanning only a very limited number of designs can be tested [12]. A faster and cheaper way to generate data is to do com- puter simulations. Simulation-based approaches are attractive in the sense that they are easily understood and closely resemble the actual experiment that is to be optimized. To obtain the error terms included in the objective function, two steps are used: generation of noisy data based on some signal model, noise distribution and experiment design, and parameter estimation based on the noisy data with the model of 29 choice, which is not necessarily the same as was used for data gener- ation. This simplicity is in contrast to expression-based approaches where the effect of these two steps must be described explicitly. Simulation-based approaches have been used in IVIM applications to find optimal b-values for the biexponential IVIM model in various organs [7] and to find an optimal intermediate b-value in a three-b- value examination used to estimate D and f [14, 15]. However, the computational cost is significant to evaluate the objective function, especially if closed form expressions for parameters do not exist. This has resulted in somewhat simplified optimization approaches. To re- duce the number of free parameters in the optimization Lemke et al. chose to build the b-value schemes incrementally by adding additional b-values one-by-one [7]. Doing so may produce b-value schemes that are suboptimal as a whole, since the added b-value is only optimal given the already fixed b-values. While et al. and Meeus et al. chose to only optimize the intermediate b-value, which enabled an exhaus- tive search, but the upper b-value was fixed in the optimization [14, 15]. The obtained results are therefore dependent on the preset upper b-value. The use of simulation-based approaches for experiment de- sign is interesting and should be further studied, but there is a need for improvements on computational efficiency or availability of more computational power such that fewer simplifications need to be made. 30 Figure 7: Voxelwise mean and standard deviation (std) of IVIM parameter maps from four repeated examinations of a healthy volunteer. The median std in the right part of the liver (colored region) with an optimized/linear b-value scheme was 0.115/0.147 µm2/ms and 5.1/5.8 % for D and f , re- spectively. The variability of D and f was thus reduced by 22 and 12 %, respectively, by the use of the optimized b-value scheme in this example. Adapted from Paper III, Figure S14 31 32 Analysis of IVIM tumor parameter maps This chapter is mainly related to Paper IV and partly to Paper II. In Paper II, the ability of D and f to differentiate between tumor and healthy liver was studied. In Paper IV, clustering based on Gaussian mixture models with IVIM parameter maps as input were used to identify tumor subregions. The iden- tified subregions were compared with maps of proliferative activity derived from histological analysis. Quantitative imaging, such as IVIM, shows great potential for tumor characterization [66]. By mapping physiologically relevant parameters it is possible to gain information on potentially interesting spatial vari- ations within the tumor. Even so, most studies on tumors utilizing quantitative imaging only analyze parameter values that are averaged across the entire tumor [17]. To account for intratumor heterogeneity a couple of methods have been developed. These are mainly based on either describing the distribution of parameter values within the tumor, i.e. histogram or texture analysis, or partitioning the tumor into smaller regions, which are analyzed separately. Methods for intratumor parameter analysis Histogram and texture analysis Histogram and texture analysis are methods based on extracting math- ematical descriptions of the distribution of data. In histogram analysis no spatial information is considered, instead all voxel data from a tu- mor is pooled and a number of descriptives are used to summarize the 33 distribution of values. Typical descriptives include measures of cen- tral tendency (mean, median, mode), spread (variance, interquartile range), higher order metrics (skewness, kurtosis) and others (quan- tiles). In texture analysis, the variation between neighboring voxels is considered. Typical descriptives in this case are local and angular versions of correlation and entropy. Histogram and texture analysis has shown great promise in many applications [67]. They are easy to understand methodologically and straight-forward to apply. However, higher order descriptives such as skewness and kurtosis are not obviously translated to a specific biological state, thereby resulting in a lack of interpretability [67, 68]. Region-based analysis Instead of describing the distribution of parameter values within the tumor, one can choose to divide the tumor into subregions such that each subregion is relatively homogeneous and easy to describe [17]. One such alternative is to divide the tumor based on prior assump- tions on its structure. A number of concentric ring-shaped regions with different distance from the center of the tumor can, for example, be defined [69, 70]. This approach can give insight to tumor physiology in different parts and provides a method that is easy to understand and describe. However, unless the tumor growth and development is purely radial, some degree of lost sensitivity due to averaging is inher- ent. Mismatch between rings and actual borders between functional regions is also a potential issue since statistics derived from nearby rings may become highly correlated, which complicates subsequent analysis [70]. Another alternative is to divide the tumor based on prior assump- tions on the parameter values [71], for example, by setting some thresh- old parameter value to divide voxels into two groups. A similar ap- proach, which is somewhat more data-driven, is to base such a thresh- old on the distribution of data, for example, a specific quantile. It is, however, less obvious why such a threshold would be biologically relevant. A more fully data-driven approach is to partition the voxels within the tumor based on some kind of clustering [72]. Such an approach avoids the need for predefined thresholds or metrics. It can handle fairly complicated distributions and can in many cases easily be trans- lated into a multiparametric situation in contrast to simple threshold- 34 based approaches where multidimensional thresholds may be non- trivial to define. It should, however, be noted that this kind of ap- proach, where identification of tumor subregions is derived from the data itself, is primarily applicable to studies of new therapies, tumors, MRI methods or others, with relatively small sample sizes and with little or no a priori knowledge available. For a clinical setting where single patients are of interest, e.g., to provide personalized treatment evaluation, it is likely better to have predefined classification models trained and validated on large cohorts. Cluster-based methods The typical approach for cluster-based methods for identification of tumor subregions is to pool all voxel data from all tumors in all sub- jects and then perform a cluster analysis on the complete data set, as illustrated in Figure 8. The clustering result can then be transformed back to the individual tumors by identifying the cluster membership of each individual voxel. Most studies aiming towards identification of tumor subregions based on clustering have used either k-means clustering or Gaussian mixture models. The k-means clustering is a hard clustering, i.e. vox- els are only allowed to belong to a single cluster. k-means clustering is computationally efficient and the most commonly used clustering algorithm for identification of tumor subregions [72–80], but can be hampered if the distribution of data does not show very distinct clus- ters. In some recent studies, Gaussian mixture models (GMM) have been used [81–84]. GMM is, in contrast to k-means, a soft clustering algorithm, which means that voxels are assigned probabilities of be- longing to each cluster. The probability for voxel i to belong to cluster k is given by: P (xi = k|yi) = P (yi|xi = k)P (xi = k) ∑ k P (yi|xi = k)P (xi = k) (15) where yi is a vector of data, that is D, f and D∗ for data from the biexponential IVIM model, and xi is the (unknown) class of voxel i [85]. P (yi|xi = k) = 1 √ 2pid|Σk| exp [ − 1 2 (yi − µk) T Σ−1k (yi − µk) ] (16) 35 where µk and Σk are the mean vector and covariance matrix of cluster k, respectively, d is the number of dimensions, i.e. three when yi contains D, f and D∗, and T indicates transpose [85]. P (xi = k) = φk is the prior probability of belonging to cluster k. GMM can be used in cases of overlapping clusters and naturally handles parameters that are on different scales. Much attention has been focused on clustering based on vascular properties by the use of parameters or time courses from DCE MRI [75–81, 84, 86, 87]. However, some studies have also used ADC and T2 [72–74, 78, 88]. Both diffusion and perfusion MRI can provide infor- mation important for tumor evaluation [89]. Since the two techniques relate to fundamentally different biological processes, their informa- tion is likely complementary and therefore highly suitable as input to a multidimensional clustering algorithm. One example of the comple- mentary nature of the diffusion and perfusion information was shown in Paper II where differentiation between tumor and healthy liver was substantially improved by the combined use ofD and f compared with use of D or f alone. IVIM is a strong candidate for providing diffusion and perfusion information to a clustering algorithm, not only because there is no need for an exogenous contrast agent, but also since only a single imaging sequence is used. This means that the different pa- rameter maps for a given tumor are all in the same geometrical space, which is needed for the clustering analysis. On the other hand, if, for example, DCE parameters were to be combined with, e.g., ADC, a nontrivial co-registration would be needed. To further complement the IVIM parameters, a possibility could be to use T2-extended IVIM [34]. In addition to D, f and D∗, it also provides T2 relaxation times for both compartments and compensates for relaxation effects on f . In paper IV, clustering was performed with the GMM algorithm and input data containing D, f and D∗ to obtain subregions in neu- roendocrine tumors of the GOT1 tumor model [58]. Based on the ap- parent good quality of parameter maps obtained from Bayesian IVIM model fitting with lognormal prior parameter distributions seen in Pa- per I, that approach for IVIM parameter estimation was chosen. To better conform to distributions approximated by a sum of Gaussian distributions, the log transform was applied to all IVIM parameters before clustering. This transformation is not permitted by all methods for IVIM model fitting due to the possibility of parameter estimates equal to zero, e.g. f obtained from segmented fitting. However, in Pa- per IV it served as an important preprocessing step. When the trans- 36 Common histogram GMM fit overlaid Individual histograms ... Parameter maps ... Tumors Cluster maps ... Figure 8: Flowchart showing how tumor subregions can be identified by Gaussian mixture modeling (GMM) based on data from parameter maps. The parameter data from each tumor is pooled to form a common parameter distribution. By fitting a GMM to the common parameter distribution the probability of belonging to a given class can be calculated for each voxel, which can be used to obtain maps of the clustering results. Adapted from Paper IV 37 formed IVIM parameter distributions were displayed in histograms, two relatively distinct clusters could be seen which both were well approximated by Gaussian distributions. This was confirmed by the cluster analysis which regarded two as the optimal number of classes. That number is specific for this study and in future work it is impor- tant to determine it for each specific situation. It has previously been observed that inclusion of information from neighboring voxels can enhance the quality of the tumor subregions obtained from clustering [78]. Therefore, cluster analysis with a ver- sion of GMM that was altered to included information from neigh- boring voxels was also conducted in Paper IV. However, this only improved the quality marginally while the complexity of the analysis and computation time increased substantially. Whether spatial infor- mation should be included in the clustering or not is thus still an open question where the optimal choice likely depends on several factors including data quality, imaging techniques and tumor type. Validation of clustering When cluster-based methods are used it is important to note that they are solely driven by the data that is provided and the resulting subre- gions do not necessarily have any biological relevance. It is therefore necessary to evaluate the resulting subregions relative to some other aspect that is considered relevant for the particular tumor and situa- tion. In most previous studies, the clustering results have either been related to some tissue characteristics from histological analysis [72, 73, 78] or evaluated as a predictor or measure for treatment effect [74, 87, 88]. Comparison of subregions obtained from cluster analysis with tis- sue characteristics derived from histological analysis provides a pos- sibility to get a biological understanding of the obtained subregions. Since the characteristics of the clusters, i.e. their centers, are not known before the clustering analysis, it is preferable if the specific choice of histological parameters can be made after the clustering re- sults are available. By doing so, it is possible to have hypotheses re- garding the biological meaning of the clusters and choose staining tech- niques to obtain relevant histological parameters accordingly. More- over, ideally the clusters should be compared with combinations of histological parameters or some histological parameter that is not di- rectly comparable with a single MR parameter. The reasoning behind 38 this strategy is that the clustering is based on combinations of MR derived parameters and therefore the histological counterpart should be chosen to reflect the clustering results rather than any individual MR derived parameter. One such example that has been employed several times is to classify regions as viable tumor or necrosis based on hematoxylin and eosin staining, sometimes along with other com- plementary stainings, to compare with the subregions obtained from cluster analysis [72, 73, 78]. In Paper IV, the two obtained clusters were characterized by ei- ther high perfusion and low diffusion or low perfusion and somewhat higher diffusion. Based on the assumptions that the level of perfusion indicates availability of oxygen and nutrients and that measures of tis- sue water diffusion relates to cell density, it was hypothesized that the obtained subregions had different levels of proliferative activity. To assess the proliferative activity, index maps were derived from histo- logical sections subject to Ki-67 staining. When the cluster maps were compared with the proliferation index maps a high degree of agree- ment could be seen, both regarding size and spatial similarity. The results thus confirm that IVIM based clustering has the potential to provide biologically relevant tumor subregions, but also more gener- ally that IVIM parameters contain information potentially important for tumor tissue evaluation. If the tumors are imaged at multiple time points, which are all in- cluded in the cluster analysis, it is possible to follow the development of subregions over time [76]. This could, for example, be of interest after some treatment has been given. It is then possible to extract longitu- dinal information such as size, average parameter value or even more complicated metrics from each subregion separately. The extracted information can then potentially be used as a measure or predictor for treatment outcome. Such a comparison with treatment effect is often the objective of a study, but ideally a histological analysis is also performed in order to improve the interpretability of the results [72, 73, 76, 88]. 39 40 Conclusions This thesis provides several methodological improvements related to intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) analysis. Specifically, it was shown that: • choice of prior distribution and central tendency measure influ- ence the performance of Bayesian IVIM model fitting and can have a large impact on the parameter estimates (Paper I). For analysis restricted to the parameters D and f the segmented IVIM model fitting is preferable (Paper II) • optimization of b-value schemes has the ability to reduce esti- mation uncertainty of D and f substantially. Optimization of b-value schemes was enabled by development of a framework spe- cific for estimation of D and f . The obtained optimized b-value schemes contained three unique b-values (Paper III) • clustering using Gaussian mixture models based on IVIM param- eter maps is able to identify tumor subregions, which correspond well with proliferative activity (Paper IV) Altogether, the results of this thesis emphasize the importance of op- timization of measurement and analysis methods for IVIM, and show that IVIM has a great potential to provide imaging biomarkers in e.g. cancer imaging. 41 42 Future aspects IVIM is currently transitioning into clinical practice with analysis tools becoming available on several commercial platforms [90, 91]. How- ever, if IVIM is to become a routine procedure in the clinic, consensus on imaging protocols and parameter estimation approaches is needed. Otherwise, interpretation and comparisons of parameter maps may be obscured by methodological differences. The results of this thesis and other work on IVIM methodology can serve as a basis for such a consensus. During the last years, major methodological extensions have been proposed for IVIM, both regarding modeling and methods for diffusion encoding. To obtain more information and to better describe the dif- fusion weighted signal, it has been suggested to use an extended model for the diffusion compartment [92]. In that particular study, the kur- tosis model was used, but any model that describes the curvature of the signal-vs-b curve would in principle apply [93]. More advanced methods for diffusion encoding, such as variable flow encoding, have also been proposed to better characterize the perfusion compartment [18, 20]. Including IVIM in the paradigm of multidimensional diffu- sion MRI has the potential to improve information output as well as robustness for IVIM analysis [94]. However, the increased complexity regarding both modeling and diffusion encoding necessitates studies on what approaches that actually provide important additional infor- mation and under which conditions. Optimization of acquisition pa- rameters will be required and development of specialized estimation approaches may also be needed. Future efforts should also be aimed at improved understanding of the origin of the IVIM signal. The physical origin can, for example, be studied by the use of complementary MRI techniques, while the biological interpretation can be strengthened by comparison with, for example, histological samples. Interesting results were shown in a re- 43 cent study where ASL with variable post labeling delay was combined with diffusion weighting to study how the blood signal is affected by diffusion weighting at different levels in the vessel tree [95]. In an- other study, the perfusion fraction was shown to be correlated with microvessel density as derived from histological analysis [96]. With the results of studies like these an increased understanding of the origin of the signal can be gained and the relation of IVIM to other perfusion techniques can be better understood. This can help in future devel- opment of the IVIM technique and to determine in which applications IVIM will give clinically relevant information. 44 Acknowledgements During this time I have had help and support by many. I would like to express my gratitude especially to: Maria Ljungberg, my supervisor. Thank you for letting me explore my ideas and for carefully getting me back in the right direction when I got lost. Your considerate mentorship has helped me many times Göran Starck, my co-supervisor. Thank you for challenging my ideas and for sharing your long-lasting experience of MR Mikael Montelius and Jonathan Arvidsson, my roommates since the start. Thank you for all discussions about science, being a PhD student and everything else Other co-authors, especially Ylva Lilja and Mats Andersson. Thank you for your contributions. It has been a pleasure to work with you Former and current members of the MR physics group: Kerstin, Maja, Åsa, Linnéa, Stefanie, Frida, Yosef, Daniel, Christian, Nicolas, Jens, Christian, Emilia, Lukas. Thank you for filling our little white house with joy Radiographers and radiologist at the MR department. Thank you for creating a nice atmosphere, always sharing your skills and for mak- ing me, as an MR physicist, feel valuable MR administration and animal handling personnel. 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